Does overreaction still exist in Thailand? , , , ,

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Polwat Lerskullawat Teerapan Ungphakorn

Abstract

Overreaction of stock prices is identified when investors give more credence to new in- formation than its intrinsic value, thus driving stock prices away from the level at which they should be. This study aims to examine the overreaction hypothesis in Thailand in recent years, with the intention of suggesting investment strategies based on the results obtained. The final sample of 438 companies was collected from the period 1990 to 2016 and is categorised into two portfolios: loser portfolios, with the lowest past returns; and winner portfolios, with the highest past returns. Both equally-weighted and value- weighted  methods are used  to examine these two portfolios. The  results show evidence of stock price overreaction on the Thai stock market, particularly during periods involving interesting situations, such as the Asian financial crisis of 1997, political chaos in 2005, and the global financial crisis in 2008e2009. Moreover, the contrarian strategy is preferred when investing in Thailand, as the loser portfolios reveal a reversed performance in the following period. However, when the value-weighted method is applied, evidence of overreaction is stronger. This indicates that larger stocks appear to overreact more in comparison to smaller ones. Thus, the size effect should be an interesting point to consider prior to making investment decisions in Thailand.

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How to Cite
LERSKULLAWAT, Polwat; UNGPHAKORN, Teerapan. Does overreaction still exist in Thailand?. Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences, [S.l.], v. 40, n. 3, p. 689–694, oct. 2019. ISSN 2452-3151. Available at: <http://kuojs.lib.ku.ac.th/index.php/kjss/article/view/3038>. Date accessed: 22 nov. 2019.
Section
Research articles